Date

Topic

Resource

Assignment

M, 1/10

Review of probability theory

Module U5: Click here for Notes and here for text.

W, 1/12

Review of probability theory

Modules U6, U7.

Click here for U6 Notes, here for U6 text.

Click here for U7 Notes, here for U7 text.

F, 1/14

Review of probability theory

Modules U8, U9, U13

Click here for U8 Notes, here for U8 text.

Click here for U9 Notes, here for U9 text.

Click here for U13 Notes, here for U13 text.

M, 1/17

Martin Luther King Jr. Holiday

W, 1/19

Probability distributions for reliability

 Module U10

Click here for U10 Notes, here for U10 text.

Download HW1

Due Wednesday, January 26.

F, 1/21

Reliability of non-repairable components

 Module U11

Click here for  U11 Notes, here for U11 text.

M, 1/24

Reliability of non-repairable components

 Module U12.

Click here for U12 Notes, here for U12 text.

W, 1/26

Reliability of non-repairable components

 Module U12

F, 1/28

Series/parallel systems

Module U14. Click here for U14 Notes.

Download HW2

Due Friday, Feb 4

M, 1/31

Series/parallel systems

Module U14

W, 2/02

Series/parallel systems

Module U14

F, 2/04

Non-series parallel system

Module U15. Click here for U15 Notes.

M, 2/07

Non-series parallel system

Module U15

Download HW3

Due Monday, Feb 14

W, 2/09

Non-series parallel system

Module U15

F, 2/11

Markov models

Module U16. Click here for U16 Notes.

M, 2/14

Markov models

Module U16 

W, 2/16

Markov models

Module U16

F, 2/18

Markov models

Module U16

M, 2/21

Markov models

Module U16

W, 2/23

Markov models

Module U16

Click here for R. Allen's paper on basic concepts.

F, 2/25

MIDTERM EXAM

Click here for Reliability Bibliography papers of 1972, 1982, 1987, 1991, 1996, and 1999.

Click here for paper listing in "Applied Reliability Concepts in Electric Power Systems."

M, 2/28

Overview of power system reliability analysis

Module U17. Click here for U17 Notes.

W, 3/02

Overview of power system reliability analysis

Module U17.

Click here for 1988 Paper on Bulk Power System Reliability Concepts & Applications.

Click here for 1990 Paper on Bulk Power System Reliability - Predictive Indices.

Click here for 1993 Paper on Bulk Power System Reliability - Criteria & Indices, Trends and Future Needs

F, 3/04

Data & models for power system reliability analysis

Module U18 Click here for U18 Notes

Click here for Standard 762 (Link removed).

M, 3/07

Data & models for power system reliability analysis

Module U18

Click here for Silverstein/Porter paper,

Billinton PMAPS paper,

Chowdhury PMAPS paper, Mittlestada PMAPS paper,

Kram PMAPS paper, Kram Data & Definitions,

Standard 859 on transmission equipment,(Link removed).

Standard C57 on transformers, (Link removed).

1993 IEEE OH Line Outage Survey paper,

1984 MAPP Outage data paper

2005 paper on topological identification of functional groups (units) for contingency identification.

W, 3/09

Generator adequacy evaluation

Module U19. Click here for U19 notes.

Download HW4

Due Monday, March 21

F, 3/11

Generator adequacy evaluation

Module U19

F, 3/14 - 18

Spring Break

M, 3/21

Generator adequacy evaluation

Module U19

W, 3/23

Generator adequacy evaluation

Module U19

F, 3/25

Operating reserve evaluation

Module U20. Click here for U20 notes.

Download HW5

Due 4/1/05

M, 3/28

Operating reserve evaluation

W, 3/30

Multi-area reliability evaluation

Module U21. Click here for U21 notes.

F, 4/01

Multi-area reliability evaluation

Module U21

M, 4/04

Multi-area reliability evaluation

Module U21 

W, 4/06

Multi-area reliability evaluation

Module U21

F, 4/08

Multi-area reliability evaluation

Module U21

Download HW6.

Due 4/18/05.

M, 4/11

Composite system reliability

Module U22. Click here for U22 notes.

W, 4/13

Composite system reliability

Module U22

F, 4/15

Student presentations

Rare event probabilities.

Weather-dependent failure rates.

M, 4/18

Student presentations

Stochastic programming.

Load forecasting using time series models.

W, 4/20

Student presentations

Substation reliability.

Distribution reliability - fundamentals.

Distribution reliability - historical indices.

F, 4/22

Student presentations

Distribution reliability - predictive indices. Presentation.

Degradation Analysis for Failure Rate Estimation.

M, 4/25

Probabilistic security assessment

Module R1

W, 4/27

Decision-making methods

Chapter7

F, 4/29

Decision-making methods

5/02 - 06

FINAL EXAM: Tuesday May 3, 7:30-9:30 am.